Alaska Air Group, Inc.: Form 10-Q for the period ended Mar 31, 2024
Filed with the SEC on May 3, 2024 and accepted by EDGAR at May 2, 2024, 20:00 ET.
Management's discussion and analysis
As filed, 45,727 characters, with its headings, lists and tables. Extracted from the main document; charts and exhibits are in the original on sec.gov.
OVERVIEW
The following Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (MD&A) is intended to help the reader understand our company and the present business environment. MD&A is provided as a supplement to – and should be read in conjunction with – our consolidated financial statements and the accompanying notes. All statements in the following discussion that are not statements of historical information or descriptions of current accounting policy are forward-looking statements. Please consider our forward-looking statements in light of the risks referred to in this report’s introductory cautionary note and the risks mentioned in "Item 1A. Risk Factors” of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023. This overview summarizes the MD&A, which includes the following sections:
- GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations and Operating Statistics - reconciliations of reported non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable financial measures reported on a GAAP basis, as well as operating statistics we use to measure operating performance.
- First Quarter Review - highlights from the first quarter of 2024 outlining some of the major events that occurred during the period.
- Results of Operations - an in-depth analysis of our consolidated revenue and expenses for the three months ended March 31, 2024. This section includes forward-looking statements regarding our view of the remainder of 2024.
- Liquidity and Capital Resources - an overview of our financial position, analysis of cash flows, and relevant contractual obligations and commitments.
GAAP TO NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS AND OPERATING STATISTICS
We are providing reconciliations of reported non-GAAP financial measures to their most directly comparable financial measures reported on a GAAP basis. We believe that consideration of these non-GAAP financial measures may be important to investors for the following reasons:
- By excluding certain costs from our unit metrics, we believe that we have better visibility into the results of operations. Our industry is highly competitive and is characterized by high fixed costs, so even a small reduction in non-fuel operating costs can result in a significant improvement in operating results. We believe that all domestic carriers are similarly impacted by changes in jet fuel costs over the long run, so it is important for management and investors to understand the impact of company-specific cost drivers which are more controllable by management. We adjust for expenses related directly to our freighter aircraft operations to allow for better comparability to other domestic carriers that do not operate freighter aircraft. We also exclude certain special charges as they are unusual or nonrecurring in nature and adjusting for these expenses allows management and investors to better understand our cost performance.
- CASMex is one of the most important measures used by management and by the Air Group Board of Directors in assessing quarterly and annual cost performance. CASMex is also a measure commonly used by industry analysts, and we believe it is the basis by which they have historically compared our airline to others in the industry. The measure is also the subject of frequent questions from investors.
- Adjusted pretax income is an important metric for the employee incentive plan, which covers the majority of Air Group employees.
- Disclosure of the individual impact of certain noted items provides investors the ability to measure and monitor performance both with and without these special items. We believe that disclosing the impact of these items as noted above is important because it provides information on significant items that are not necessarily indicative of future performance. Industry analysts and investors consistently measure our performance without these items for better comparability between periods and among other airlines.
- Although we disclose our unit revenue, we do not, nor are we able to, evaluate unit revenue excluding the impact that changes in fuel costs have had on ticket prices. Fuel expense represents a large percentage of our total operating expenses. Fluctuations in fuel prices often drive changes in unit revenue in the mid-to-long term. Although we believe it is useful to
evaluate non-fuel unit costs for the reasons noted above, we would caution readers of these financial statements not to place undue reliance on unit costs excluding fuel as a measure or predictor of future profitability because of the significant impact of fuel costs on our business.
Although we are presenting these non-GAAP amounts for the reasons above, investors and other readers should not consider them a substitute for GAAP figures.
GAAP TO NON-GAAP RECONCILIATIONS (unaudited)
(in millions)
| Three Months Ended March 31, 2024 Dollars | Margin | 2023 Dollars | Margin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loss before income tax | (178) | (8.0)% | (199) | (9.1)% |
| Adjusted for: | ||||
| Mark-to-market fuel hedge adjustment | (13) | 20 | ||
| Special items - fleet transition(a) | 26 | 13 | ||
| Special items - integration costs(b) | 8 | — | ||
| Special items - labor and other(c) | — | 51 | ||
| Adjusted loss before income tax | (157) | (7.0)% | (115) | (5.2)% |
(a) Special items - fleet transition in the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023 is primarily for costs associated with the retirement of Airbus and Q400 aircraft, as well as gains on the sale of certain Q400 aircraft.
(b) Special items - integration costs is associated with our proposed acquisition of Hawaiian Airlines.
(c) Special items - labor and other is for changes to Alaska pilots' sick leave benefits resulting from an agreement signed in the first quarter of 2023.
(in millions, except per share amounts)
| Three Months Ended March 31, 2024 Dollars | Diluted EPS | 2023 Dollars | Diluted EPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net loss per share | $(132) | $(1.05) | $(142) | $(1.11) |
| Mark-to-market fuel hedge adjustment | (13) | (0.10) | 20 | 0.16 |
| Special items - fleet transition | 26 | 0.21 | 13 | 0.10 |
| Special items - integration costs | 8 | 0.06 | — | — |
| Special items - labor and other | — | — | 51 | 0.40 |
| Income tax effect of reconciling items above | (5) | (0.04) | (21) | (0.17) |
| Adjusted net loss per share | $(116) | $(0.92) | $(79) | $(0.62) |
(in millions)
| Three Months Ended March 31, 2024 | 2023 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total operating expenses | 2,398 | 2,382 | ||
| Less the following components: | ||||
| Aircraft fuel, including hedging gains and losses | 565 | 665 | ||
| Freighter costs(a) | 15 | 14 | ||
| Special items - fleet transition | 26 | 13 | ||
| Special items - integration costs | 8 | — | ||
| Special items - labor and other | — | 51 | ||
| Total operating expenses, excluding fuel, freighter costs, and special items | 1,784 | 1,639 | ||
| CASMex | 11.60 | ¢ | 10.44 | ¢ |
(a) Freighter costs in the three months ended March 31, 2024 and 2023 are not presented separately on the consolidated statements of operations.
OPERATING STATISTICS (unaudited)
Below are consolidated operating statistics we use to measure operating performance. We often refer to unit revenue and adjusted unit costs, which are non-GAAP measures.
| Three Months Ended March 31, 2024 | 2023 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue passengers (000) | 9,774 | 9,852 | (1)% |
| RPMs (000,000) "traffic" | 12,524 | 12,554 | —% |
| ASMs (000,000) "capacity" | 15,378 | 15,705 | (2)% |
| Load factor | 81.4% | 79.9% | 1.5 pts |
| Yield | 16.00¢ | 15.80¢ | 1% |
| PRASM | 13.03¢ | 12.63¢ | 3% |
| RASM | 14.51¢ | 13.98¢ | 4% |
| CASMex(a) | 11.60¢ | 10.44¢ | 11% |
| Economic fuel cost per gallon(a) | $3.08 | $3.41 | (10)% |
| Fuel gallons (000,000) | 188 | 189 | (1)% |
| ASMs per fuel gallon | 81.8 | 83.1 | (2)% |
| Departures (000) | 95.7 | 95.4 | —% |
| Average full-time equivalent employees (FTEs) | 23,013 | 22,978 | —% |
| Operating fleet(b) | 315 | 294 | 21 a/c |
(a) Refer to reconciliation of this non-GAAP measure to the most directly related GAAP measure.
(b) Includes aircraft owned and leased by Alaska and Horizon as well as aircraft operated by third-party regional carriers under capacity purchase agreements. Excludes non-operating aircraft.
FIRST QUARTER REVIEW
Financial Overview
We reported a loss before income tax for the first quarter of 2024 of $178 million, compared to $199 million for the first quarter of 2023. Despite the impacts of Flight 1282 and the subsequent grounding of the B737-9 fleet, which are outlined more fully below, the Company recorded record first quarter revenue bolstered by strategic capacity deployment and strong leisure and business demand. Revenue improvement, combined with a $100 million decrease in aircraft fuel costs, offset by increased non-fuel operating expenses drove the year-over-year improvement in pretax loss.
See “Results of Operations” below for further discussion of changes in revenue and operating expenses as compared to 2023. A glossary of financial terms can be found at the end of this Item 2.
Flight 1282 and B737-9 Updates
Air Group's first quarter operation and results were significantly impacted by Flight 1282 in January and the B737-9 grounding which extended into February. These events negatively impacted results by $162 million in the first quarter, of which approximately $150 million relates to lost revenue and the remainder to incremental costs. The Company received $162 million in cash compensation from Boeing to address these financial damages, which was recorded as an offset to the cost basis of certain B737-9 aircraft. Subsequent to quarter end, Boeing issued Air Group $61 million in supplier credit memos to be used on future Boeing purchases.
Labor Update
In the first quarter, Alaska technicians, represented by the Aircraft Mechanics Fraternal Union (AMFA), ratified a new five-year Collective Bargaining Agreement (CBA) that includes wage increases and quality of life improvements.
Alaska is in negotiations with its flight attendants represented by the Association of Flight Attendants (AFA) for an updated CBA. A mediator from the National Mediation Board is involved in the negotiations. Horizon has initiated negotiations with certain labor groups for updated CBAs, including its pilots, represented by the International Brotherhood of Teamsters; its flight attendants, represented by AFA; and its technicians, represented by AMFA.
Outlook
The following represents our expectations for the second quarter and full year 2024 results:
| Q2 Expectation | |
|---|---|
| Capacity (ASMs) % change versus 2023 | Up 5% to 7% |
| Economic fuel cost per gallon | $3.00 to $3.20 |
| Earnings per share(a) | $2.20 to $2.40 |
| Full Year Expectation | |
|---|---|
| Capacity (ASMs) % change versus 2023 | < 3% |
| Earnings per share(a) | $3.25 to $5.25 |
| Capital expenditures | $1.2 billion - $1.3 billion |
(a) Earnings per share guidance assumes a full year tax rate of approximately 25%
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
COMPARISON OF THREE MONTHS ENDED MARCH 31, 2024 TO THREE MONTHS ENDED MARCH 31, 2023
OPERATING REVENUE
Total operating revenue increased $36 million, or 2%, in the first quarter of 2024 compared to the same period in 2023. The changes are summarized in the following table:
(in millions)
| Three Months Ended March 31, 2024 | 2023 | % Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Passenger revenue | $2,004 | $1,984 | 1% |
| Mileage Plan other revenue | 164 | 154 | 6% |
| Cargo and other revenue | 64 | 58 | 10% |
| Total Operating Revenue | $2,232 | $2,196 | 2% |
Passenger revenue
On a consolidated basis, Passenger revenue for the first quarter of 2024 increased $20 million, or 1% compared to the same period in 2023. While the B737-9 grounding resulted in approximately $150 million in lost revenue, meaningful improvements in corporate travel revenue and general close-in strength drove improvements in unit revenue to help offset this negative impact. Additionally, increased traffic on ten E175 aircraft added to our fleet since the first quarter of 2023 contributed positively to Passenger revenue.
We expect to see further growth to Passenger revenue as we progress through 2024 driven by diverse revenue offerings, increased capacity, continued improvements to our strategic network, and further recovery of West Coast corporate travel.
Mileage Plan other revenue
On a consolidated basis, Mileage Plan other revenue for the first quarter of 2024 increased by $10 million, or 6%. The increase was driven by higher commissions from our bank card partner primarily due to increased credit card acquisitions, as well as higher commission revenue from other third party partners.
We expect to see continued strength in Mileage Plan other revenue for the remainder of 2024, enabled by higher commissions from increased card spend and incremental partner activity.
Cargo and other revenue
On a consolidated basis, Cargo and other revenue for the first quarter of 2024 increased by $6 million, or 10%. The growth was driven by incremental lounge revenue and other miscellaneous increases.
We expect to see further growth in Cargo and other revenue for the remainder of 2024, driven by increased freight volumes with the addition of a second B737-800 freighter to our fleet in the second quarter of 2024.
OPERATING EXPENSES
Total operating expenses increased $16 million, or 1%, compared to the first quarter of 2023. We believe it is useful to summarize operating expenses as follows, which is consistent with the way expenses are reported internally and evaluated by management:
(in millions)
| Three Months Ended March 31, 2024 | 2023 | % Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fuel expense | $565 | $665 | (15)% |
| Non-fuel operating expenses, excluding special items | 1,799 | 1,653 | 9% |
| Special items - fleet transition | 26 | 13 | 100% |
| Special items - integration costs | 8 | — | NM |
| Special items - labor and other | — | 51 | (100)% |
| Total Operating Expenses | $2,398 | $2,382 | 1% |
Fuel expense
Aircraft fuel expense includes raw fuel expense (as defined below) plus the effect of mark-to-market adjustments to our fuel hedge portfolio as the value of that portfolio increases and decreases. Our aircraft fuel expense can be volatile because it includes these gains or losses in the value of the underlying instrument as crude oil prices and refining margins increase or decrease. Raw fuel expense is defined as the price that we generally pay at the airport, or the “into-plane” price, including taxes and fees. Raw fuel prices are impacted by world oil prices and refining costs, which can vary by region in the U.S. Raw fuel expense approximates cash paid to suppliers and does not reflect the effect of our fuel hedges.
Aircraft fuel expense decreased $100 million, or 15%, compared to the first quarter of 2023. The elements of the change are illustrated in the following table:
(in millions, except for per gallon amounts)
| Three Months Ended March 31, 2024 Dollars | Cost/Gal | 2023 Dollars | Cost/Gal | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw or "into-plane" fuel cost | $565 | $3.01 | $633 | $3.35 |
| Losses on settled hedges | 13 | 0.07 | 12 | 0.06 |
| Economic fuel expense | $578 | $3.08 | $645 | $3.41 |
| Mark-to-market fuel hedge adjustments | (13) | (0.07) | 20 | 0.11 |
| Aircraft fuel, including hedging gains and losses | $565 | $3.01 | $665 | $3.52 |
| Fuel gallons | 188 | 189 |
Raw fuel expense decreased 11% in the first quarter of 2024 compared to the first quarter of 2023, due to lower per gallon costs on decreased refining margins associated with the conversion of crude oil to jet fuel.
We also evaluate economic fuel expense, which we define as raw fuel expense adjusted for the cash we receive from hedge counterparties for hedges that settle during the period and for the premium expense that we paid for those contracts. A key difference between aircraft fuel expense and economic fuel expense is the timing of gain or loss recognition on our hedge portfolio. Economic fuel expense includes gains and losses only when they are realized for those contracts that were settled during the period based on their original contract terms. We believe this is the best measure of the effect that fuel prices are currently having on our business as it most closely approximates the net cash outflow associated with purchasing fuel for our operations. Accordingly, many industry analysts evaluate our results using this measure, and it is the basis for most internal management reporting and incentive pay plans.
Losses recognized for hedges that settled during the first quarter were $13 million in 2024, compared to losses of $12 million in the same period in 2023. These amounts represent cash paid for premium expense, offset by any cash received from those hedges at settlement. In 2023, we suspended our crude oil hedge program. Our final option position will settle in the first quarter of 2025.
In the second quarter, we expect our economic fuel cost per gallon to range between $3.00 to $3.20.
Non-fuel expenses
The table below provides the reconciliation of the operating expense line items, excluding fuel and other special items. Significant operating expense variances from 2023 are more fully described below.
(in millions)
| Three Months Ended March 31, 2024 | 2023 | % Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wages and benefits | $804 | $723 | 11% |
| Variable incentive pay | 44 | 47 | (6)% |
| Aircraft maintenance | 122 | 124 | (2)% |
| Aircraft rent | 47 | 59 | (20)% |
| Landing fees and other rentals | 165 | 152 | 9% |
| Contracted services | 97 | 95 | 2% |
| Selling expenses | 77 | 66 | 17% |
| Depreciation and amortization | 126 | 104 | 21% |
| Food and beverage service | 58 | 54 | 7% |
| Third-party regional carrier expense | 54 | 52 | 4% |
| Other | 205 | 177 | 16% |
| Total non-fuel operating expenses, excluding special items | $1,799 | $1,653 | 9% |
Wages and benefits
Wages and benefits increased by $81 million, or 11%, in the first quarter of 2024. The primary components of Wages and benefits are shown in the following table:
(in millions)
| Three Months Ended March 31, 2024 | 2023 | % Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wages | $609 | $558 | 9% |
| Payroll taxes | 44 | 41 | 7% |
| Medical and other benefits | 83 | 66 | 26% |
| Defined contribution plans | 61 | 51 | 20% |
| Pension - Defined benefit plans | 7 | 7 | —% |
| Total Wages and benefits | $804 | $723 | 11% |
Wages increased $51 million, or 9%, driven by higher wage rates stemming from labor agreements reached with various represented labor groups since the first quarter of 2023, as well as additional impact from irregular operations following the B737-9 grounding. Increased expense for payroll taxes is consistent with the change in wages.
Increased expense for medical and other benefits was primarily driven by an increase in the cost of medical services compared to the prior year. Increased expense for defined contribution plans was driven by the change in wages as well as higher matching contributions for various labor groups.
We expect to see higher wages and benefits for the remainder of 2024 due to the increase in wage rates and additional agreements we may reach during the year with represented labor groups.
Aircraft rent
Aircraft rent expense decreased by $12 million, or 20%, in the first quarter of 2024. The decrease was primarily driven by the retirement of ten leased A321neo aircraft fleet from operations, partially offset by the addition of one leased B737-9 and one leased B737-800 freighter since the first quarter of 2023.
We expect aircraft rent to remain below 2023 levels for the remainder of 2024, due to the net reduction in leased aircraft described above.
Landing fees and other rentals
Landing fees and other rentals increased by $13 million, or 9%, in the first quarter of 2024. The increase was driven primarily by higher terminal rent costs resulting from rate increases at many of our facilities, as well as non-recurring favorable settlements that were realized in 2023.
We expect landing fees and other rentals to increase for the remainder of 2024 as compared to 2023 due to increased capacity and higher rates at airports.
Selling expenses
Selling expenses increased by $11 million, or 17%, in the first quarter of 2024. The increase was primarily driven by increased credit card commissions, as well as timing differences.
We expect selling expenses to increase for the remainder of 2024 as compared to 2023, due primarily to higher sales and an increase in marketing costs as we continue to build our brand.
Depreciation and amortization
Depreciation and amortization increased by $22 million, or 21%, in the first quarter of 2024. The increase was primarily due to the addition of 22 owned B737 aircraft and ten owned E175 aircraft to our fleet since the first quarter of 2023. Incremental depreciation on ground service and other equipment also contributed to the increase.
Other expense
Other expense increased by $28 million, or 16%, in the first quarter of 2024. The increase was primarily driven by passenger remuneration and crew hotel costs due to the B737-9 grounding. Additional software expenses also contributed to the increase.
Special items - fleet transition
We recorded expenses associated with the Company's fleet transition of $26 million in the first quarter of 2024. These costs consist of certain aircraft maintenance work performed as a result of the fleet retirements, adjustments to estimated costs to return the A320 fleet, and holdover rent for Airbus aircraft which have not yet been returned to the lessor as of the lease expiration date.
Special items - integration costs
We recorded $8 million in integration costs associated with our proposed acquisition of Hawaiian Airlines. These costs primarily consist of professional services fees. We expect to incur additional integration costs as activities supporting the proposed acquisition continue.
ADDITIONAL SEGMENT INFORMATION
Refer to Note 11 to the consolidated financial statements for a detailed description of each segment. Below is a summary of each segment's results.
Mainline
Mainline operations reported an adjusted pretax loss of $162 million in the first quarter of 2024, compared to a loss of $84 million in the same period in 2023. The $78 million decrease was driven by decreased passenger revenue as a result of the B737-9 grounding, as well as increased non-fuel operating expenses, which were primarily driven by higher wage rates across various labor groups and incremental ownership costs associated with 22 owned B737 aircraft added to Alaska's fleet since the first quarter of 2023. These increases were partially offset by decreased fuel costs due to lower per gallon costs and fewer gallons consumed.
Regional
Regional operations reported an adjusted pretax loss of $2 million in the first quarter of 2024, compared to a loss of $19 million in the same period in 2023. The $17 million improvement was driven by higher passenger revenue consistent with the increase in traffic, partially offset by higher operating expenses driven by increased capacity.
Horizon
Horizon reported an adjusted pretax profit of $5 million in the first quarter of 2024, compared to a loss of $14 million in the same period in 2023. The $19 million improvement was driven by incremental revenue consistent with increased capacity sold to Alaska, as well as cost reductions resulting from Horizon's transition to a single fleet. These improvements were partially offset by increased expenses driven by the addition of ten owned E175 aircraft added to Horizon's fleet since the first quarter of 2023.
LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES
Our primary sources of liquidity are:
- Existing cash and marketable securities of $2.3 billion;
- Cash flows from operations of $292 million;
- Our Mileage Plan program and 63 unencumbered aircraft which could be financed, if necessary;
- Combined bank line-of-credit facilities, with no outstanding borrowings, of $550 million.
During the three months ended March 31, 2024, we incurred new debt of $195 million and made debt payments of $102 million. We ended the quarter with a debt-to-capitalization ratio of 47%, within our target range of 40% to 50%. We continued share repurchases, spending $21 million in the first quarter, pursuant to the $1 billion repurchase plan authorized by the Board of Directors in August 2015.
We believe that our current cash and marketable securities balance, combined with available sources of liquidity, will be sufficient to fund our operations, meet our debt payment obligations, and remain in compliance with the financial debt covenants in existing financing arrangements for the foreseeable future.
In our cash and marketable securities portfolio, we invest only in securities that meet our primary investment strategy of maintaining and securing investment principal. The portfolio is managed by reputable firms that adhere to our investment policy that sets forth investment objectives, approved and prohibited investments, and duration and credit quality guidelines. Our policy, and the portfolio managers, are continually reviewed to ensure that the investments are aligned with our strategy.
The table below presents the major indicators of financial condition and liquidity:
(in millions)
| March 31, 2024 | December 31, 2023 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and marketable securities | $2,278 | $1,791 | 27 % |
| Cash, marketable securities, and unused lines of credit as a percentage of trailing twelve months' revenue | 27% | 22% | 5 pts |
| Long-term debt, net of current portion | 2,264 | 2,182 | 4% |
| Shareholders’ equity | $3,977 | $4,113 | (3)% |
(in millions)
| Debt-to-capitalization, including operating and finance leases | March 31, 2024 | December 31, 2023 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Long-term debt, net of current portion | $2,264 | $2,182 | 4% |
| Capitalized operating leases | 1,256 | 1,283 | (2)% |
| Capitalized finance leases(a) | — | 64 | NM |
| Adjusted debt, net of current portion of long-term debt | $3,520 | $3,529 | —% |
| Shareholders' equity | 3,977 | 4,113 | (3)% |
| Total invested capital | $7,497 | $7,642 | (2)% |
| Debt-to-capitalization, including operating and finance leases | 47% | 46% | 1 pt |
(a) To best reflect our leverage at December 31, 2023, we included our capitalized finance lease balances, which are recognized within the Current portion of long-term debt and finance leases line in the condensed consolidated balance sheets.
Adjusted net debt to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, special items, and rent
(in millions)
| March 31, 2024 | December 31, 2023 | |
|---|---|---|
| Current portion of long-term debt and finance leases | $301 | $353 |
| Current portion of operating lease liabilities | 158 | 158 |
| Long-term debt | 2,264 | 2,182 |
| Long-term operating lease liabilities, net of current portion | 1,098 | 1,125 |
| Total adjusted debt | 3,821 | 3,818 |
| Less: Cash and marketable securities | 2,278 | 1,791 |
| Adjusted net debt | $1,543 | $2,027 |
| (in millions) | Twelve Months Ended March 31, 2024 | Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2023 |
| GAAP Operating Income(a) | $414 | $394 |
| Adjusted for: | ||
| Special items | 413 | 443 |
| Mark-to-market fuel hedge adjustments | (35) | (2) |
| Depreciation and amortization | 473 | 451 |
| Aircraft rent | 196 | 208 |
| EBITDAR | $1,461 | $1,494 |
| Adjusted net debt to EBITDAR | 1.1x | 1.4x |
(a) Operating Income can be reconciled using the trailing twelve month operating income as filed quarterly with the SEC.
ANALYSIS OF OUR CASH FLOWS
The following discussion summarizes the primary drivers of the increase in our cash and marketable securities balance.
Cash Provided by Operating Activities
For the first three months of 2024, net cash provided by operating activities was $292 million, compared to $222 million in 2023. Cash provided by ticket sales and from our co-branded credit card agreement are the primary sources of our operating cash flow. Our primary use of operating cash flow is for operating expenses, including payments for employee wages and benefits, payments to suppliers for goods and services, and payments to lessors and airport authorities for rents and landing fees. Operating cash flow also includes payments to, or refunds from, federal, state, and local taxing authorities.
The $70 million net increase in our operating cash flows was due to a combination of factors. Payments made in 2024 for our 2023 incentive pay program were approximately $60 million lower than payments in 2023 for our 2022 program. Additionally, growth in our air traffic liability increased $35 million in the first quarter compared to the prior year. These amounts were partially offset by other changes in working capital accounts.
Cash Provided by Investing Activities
Cash provided by investing activities was $318 million during the first three months of 2024, compared to $60 million in 2023. The change was due to a combination of factors. In the first quarter, the Company received $162 million in compensation from Boeing related to the B737-9 grounding, which is presented as Supplier proceeds. Total property and equipment expenditures decreased $67 million as we took no deliveries of B737-9 aircraft in the first quarter of 2024 compared to three owned B737-9 deliveries in the prior period, and due to changes in contractual terms of our aircraft purchase deposit schedule with Boeing. Cash flows from other investing activities increased $96 million due to the sale of certain A321neo aircraft. These changes were partially offset by decreased cash flows from net sales of marketable securities, which were $120 million in 2024, compared to $187 million in 2023.
Cash Used in Financing Activities
Cash used in financing activities was $5 million during the first three months of 2024, compared to $114 million in 2023. The change was largely driven by $149 million in new debt proceeds in 2024 compared to zero in 2023, partially offset by increased cash used in other financing activities, of which the settlement of our final A321neo finance lease was the largest component.
MATERIAL CASH COMMITMENTS
Material cash requirements include the following contractual and other obligations. In prior filings, we had indicated our expected capital expenditures for 2024 would be approximately $1.4 billion to $1.5 billion. Based on management's assumptions regarding aircraft delivery delays in 2024, described in more detail below, we now expect 2024 capital expenditures to be approximately $1.2 billion to $1.3 billion.
Aircraft Commitments
As of March 31, 2024, Alaska had firm orders to purchase 80 B737 aircraft with deliveries between 2024 and 2027. Alaska also had rights for 105 additional B737 aircraft through 2030.
Alaska continues to experience delivery delays of B737 aircraft. Boeing has communicated that certain B737 aircraft are expected to be delivered later than the contracted delivery dates provided to Alaska. This includes certain B737-10 aircraft contracted for delivery in 2025 that have been moved to 2026, pending certification of the B737-10. We have incorporated these adjustments in the tables below, however, management expects that other Boeing aircraft deliveries may also be delayed later than negotiated delivery timeframes.
As of March 31, 2024, Horizon had commitments to purchase seven E175 aircraft with deliveries between 2024 and 2026. Horizon also had options to acquire seven E175 aircraft between 2025 and 2026. The remaining E175 delivery expected in 2024 is covered under a financing agreement executed in 2023. Capital expenditures for this delivery, which are included within aircraft-related commitments in the contractual obligations table below, will be reflected as a non-cash transaction in the consolidated statements of cash flows. Subsequent to quarter end, two of Horizon's seven E175 options expired.
Options will be exercised only if we believe return on invested capital targets can be met over the long term.
The following table summarizes our fleet plan based on contractual terms, with adjustments to reflect delivery delays as communicated by Boeing:
| Aircraft | Actual Fleet March 31, 2024 | Anticipated Fleet Activity 2024 Changes | Dec 31, 2024 | 2025 Changes | Dec 31, 2025 | 2026 Changes | Dec 31, 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B737-700 Freighters | 3 | — | 3 | — | 3 | — | 3 |
| B737-800 Freighters | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | — | 2 |
| B737-700 | 11 | — | 11 | — | 11 | — | 11 |
| B737-800 | 59 | — | 59 | — | 59 | — | 59 |
| B737-900 | 12 | — | 12 | — | 12 | — | 12 |
| B737-900ER | 79 | — | 79 | — | 79 | — | 79 |
| B737-8 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 20 | — | 20 |
| B737-9 | 64 | 16 | 80 | — | 80 | — | 80 |
| B737-10 | — | — | — | — | — | 30 | 30 |
| Total Mainline Fleet | 230 | 24 | 254 | 12 | 266 | 30 | 296 |
| E175 operated by Horizon | 43 | 1 | 44 | 3 | 47 | 3 | 50 |
| E175 operated by third party | 42 | — | 42 | 1 | 43 | — | 43 |
| Total Regional Fleet | 85 | 1 | 86 | 4 | 90 | 3 | 93 |
| Total | 315 | 25 | 340 | 16 | 356 | 33 | 389 |
Fuel Hedge Positions
In 2023, we suspended our crude oil hedge program. Existing positions entered into before suspension of the program will settle through the first quarter of 2025. All future oil positions are call options, which are designed to effectively cap the cost of the crude oil component of our jet fuel purchases. With call options, we are hedged against volatile crude oil price increases and, during a period of decline in crude oil prices, we only forfeit cash previously paid for hedge premiums. Prior to suspension, our program was designed to hedge on up to 50% of our expected consumption. Our crude oil positions are as follows:
| Approximate % of Expected Fuel Requirements | Weighted-Average Crude Oil Price per Barrel | Average Premium Cost per Barrel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Second Quarter of 2024 | 40% | $90 | $5 |
| Third Quarter of 2024 | 30% | $88 | $5 |
| Fourth Quarter of 2024 | 20% | $87 | $5 |
| Full Year 2024 | 30% | $88 | $5 |
| First Quarter of 2025 | 10% | $92 | $5 |
| Full Year 2025 | 2% | $92 | $5 |
31
Contractual Obligations
The following table provides a summary of our obligations as of March 31, 2024. For agreements with variable terms, amounts included reflect our minimum obligations.
(in millions)
| Remainder of 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | Beyond 2028 | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debt obligations | $201 | $365 | $322 | $646 | $131 | $915 | $2,580 |
| Lease commitments(a) | 173 | 204 | 204 | 196 | 187 | 705 | 1,669 |
| Aircraft-related commitments(b) | 1,164 | 830 | 1,634 | 601 | 151 | 717 | 5,097 |
| Interest obligations(c) | 99 | 110 | 124 | 99 | 54 | 115 | 601 |
| CPA and other obligations | 177 | 230 | 223 | 220 | 223 | 515 | 1,588 |
| Total | $1,814 | $1,739 | $2,507 | $1,762 | $746 | $2,967 | $11,535 |
(a) Lease commitments include minimum payments for aircraft (operating and non-operating) with associated operating leases, as we have remaining cash obligations under existing terms. It also includes minimum lease payments for facilities.
(b) Includes contractual commitments for aircraft, engines, and aircraft maintenance, and incorporates the impact of expected delays for certain B737 aircraft as communicated by Boeing. Option deliveries are excluded from minimum commitments until exercise.
(c) For variable-rate debt, future obligations are shown above using interest rates forecast as of March 31, 2024.
Debt Obligations and Interest Obligations
The Company primarily issues debt to fund purchases of aircraft or other capital expenditures. At March 31, 2024, our debt portfolio carries a weighted average interest rate of 4.6%. Interest is paid with regular debt service. Debt service obligations remaining in 2024 are expected to be approximately $300 million, inclusive of interest and principal. Refer to Note 5 to the consolidated financial statements for further discussion of our debt and interest balances.
CPA and Other Obligations
We have obligations primarily associated with our capacity purchase agreements between Alaska and SkyWest, as well as other various sponsorship agreements and investment commitments.
Leased Aircraft Return Costs
For leased aircraft, contractual terms require us to return the aircraft in a specified state. As a result of these contractual terms, we incur significant costs to return these aircraft at the termination of the lease. Costs to return leased aircraft are accrued when the costs are probable and reasonably estimable, usually over the twelve months prior to the lease return or any expected early retirement date, unless a determination is made to remove the leased asset from operation. If the leased aircraft is removed from the operating fleet, the estimated cost to return is accrued at the time of removal. Lease return accrual estimates are based on the time remaining on the lease and the provisions included in the lease agreement, although the actual amount due to any lessor upon return may not be known with certainty until lease termination. At March 31, 2024, $90 million is accrued for lease returns, and classified within Other accrued liabilities in the consolidated balance sheets.
Credit Card Agreements
Alaska has agreements with a number of credit card companies to process the sale of tickets and other services. Under these agreements, there are material adverse change clauses that, if triggered, could result in the credit card companies holding back a reserve from our credit card receivables. Under one such agreement, we could be required to maintain a reserve if our credit rating is downgraded to or below a rating specified by the agreement or our cash and marketable securities balance fell below $500 million. Under another such agreement, we could be required to maintain a reserve if our cash and marketable securities balance fell below $500 million. We are not currently required to maintain any reserve under these agreements, but if we were, our financial position and liquidity could be materially harmed.
Sustainability Commitments
As part of our efforts to reach net-zero carbon emissions by 2040, we have outlined a five-part path that includes operational efficiency, fleet renewal, sustainable aviation fuel (SAF), investing in new technologies, and using credible offsetting and removal technologies to close the gaps to our emissions target in future years. We anticipate these efforts will require cash outlays, not all of which are reflected in our contractual commitments. Finding and establishing relationships with suppliers to meet these commitments is in process. Currently, Alaska has certain agreements to purchase SAF to be delivered in the coming years. These agreements are dependent on suppliers' ability to obtain all required governmental and regulatory approvals, achieve commercial operation, and produce sufficient quantities of SAF. Financial commitments that have been contractually established and have defined minimum obligations, including those related to Alaska Star Ventures, are included within the CPA and other obligations row in the above table.
Income Taxes
For federal income tax purposes, the majority of our property and equipment are fully depreciated over a seven-year life using an accelerated depreciation method or bonus depreciation, if available. For financial reporting purposes, the majority of our assets are depreciated over 15 to 25 years to an estimated salvage value using the straight-line basis. This difference has created a significant deferred tax liability. At some point in the future, the property and equipment difference will reverse into taxable income, potentially resulting in an increase in income taxes payable.
While it is possible that we could have material cash obligations for this deferred liability at some point in the future, we cannot estimate the timing of long-term cash flows with reasonable accuracy. Taxable income and cash taxes payable in the short term are impacted by many items, including the amount of book income generated (which can be volatile depending on revenue and fuel prices, among other factors out of our control), whether bonus depreciation provisions are available, as well as other legislative changes beyond our control. We believe we have the liquidity to make our future tax payments.
Proposed Acquisition of Hawaiian Holdings Inc.
On December 2, 2023, the Company entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Hawaiian Holdings, Inc. (Hawaiian). The Company has agreed to pay Hawaiian's shareholders $18.00 per share, or approximately $1.0 billion, in cash for the outstanding shares of Hawaiian. In addition, the Company expects to assume Hawaiian's debt and lease obligations on the date of acquisition. The acquisition is dependent on approval by various regulatory bodies and other customary closing conditions. The Company expects to fund this acquisition through a combination of existing cash and marketable securities, new debt, as well as other available sources of liquidity.
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING ESTIMATES
There have been no material changes to our critical accounting estimates during the three months ended March 31, 2024. For information regarding our critical accounting estimates, see Item 7. "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023.
GLOSSARY OF TERMS
Adjusted net debt - long-term debt, including current portion, plus capitalized operating and finance leases, less cash and marketable securities
Adjusted net debt to EBITDAR - represents net adjusted debt divided by EBITDAR (trailing twelve months earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization, special items and rent)
Aircraft Utilization - block hours per day; this represents the average number of hours per day our aircraft are in transit
Aircraft Stage Length - represents the average miles flown per aircraft departure
ASMs - available seat miles, or “capacity”; represents total seats available across the fleet multiplied by the number of miles flown
CASM - operating costs per ASM; represents all operating expenses including fuel, freighter costs, and special items
CASMex - operating costs excluding fuel, freighter costs, and special items per ASM, or "unit cost"
Debt-to-capitalization ratio - represents adjusted debt (long-term debt plus capitalized operating and finance lease liabilities) divided by total equity plus adjusted debt
Diluted Earnings per Share - represents earnings per share (EPS) using fully diluted shares outstanding
Diluted Shares - represents the total number of shares that would be outstanding if all possible sources of conversion, such as stock options, were exercised
Economic Fuel - best estimate of the cash cost of fuel, net of the impact of our fuel-hedging program
Freighter Costs - operating expenses directly attributable to the operation of Alaska's Boeing 737 freighter aircraft exclusively performing cargo missions
Load Factor - RPMs as a percentage of ASMs; represents the number of available seats that were filled with paying passengers
Mainline - represents flying Boeing 737, Airbus A320, and Airbus A321neo jets and all associated revenue and costs
PRASM - passenger revenue per ASM, or "passenger unit revenue"
RASM - operating revenue per ASMs, or "unit revenue"; operating revenue includes all passenger revenue, freight & mail, Mileage Plan and other ancillary revenue; represents the average total revenue for flying one seat one mile
Regional - represents capacity purchased by Alaska from Horizon and SkyWest. Financial results in this segment include actual on-board passenger revenue, less costs such as fuel, distribution costs, and payments made to Horizon and SkyWest under the respective capacity purchased arrangement (CPA). Additionally, Regional includes an allocation of corporate overhead such as IT, finance, and other administrative costs incurred by Air Group and on behalf of Horizon
RPMs - revenue passenger miles, or "traffic"; represents the number of seats that were filled with paying passengers; one passenger traveling one mile is one RPM
Yield - passenger revenue per RPM; represents the average revenue for flying one passenger one mile
Market risk
As filed, 224 characters, with its headings, lists and tables. Extracted from the main document; charts and exhibits are in the original on sec.gov.
There have been no material changes in market risk from the information provided in Item 7A. “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosure About Market Risk” in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023.
Controls and procedures
As filed, 1,628 characters, with its headings, lists and tables. Extracted from the main document; charts and exhibits are in the original on sec.gov.
Evaluation of Disclosure Controls and Procedures
As of March 31, 2024, an evaluation was performed under the supervision and with the participation of our management, including our chief executive officer and chief financial officer (collectively, our “certifying officers”), of the effectiveness of the design and operation of our disclosure controls and procedures. These disclosure controls and procedures are designed to ensure that the information required to be disclosed by us in our periodic reports filed with or submitted to the Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC) is recorded, processed, summarized and reported within the time periods specified by the SEC's rules and forms, and includes, without limitation, controls and procedures designed to ensure that such information is accumulated and communicated to our management, including our certifying officers, as appropriate, to allow timely decisions regarding required disclosure. Our certifying officers concluded, based on their evaluation, that disclosure controls and procedures were effective as of March 31, 2024.
Changes in Internal Control over Financial Reporting
There have been no changes in the Company’s internal controls over financial reporting during the quarter ended March 31, 2024, that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal controls over financial reporting.
Our internal control over financial reporting is based on the 2013 framework in Internal Control - Integrated Framework issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission (the COSO Framework).
Risk factors
As filed, 128 characters, with its headings, lists and tables. Extracted from the main document; charts and exhibits are in the original on sec.gov.
See Part I, Item 1A. "Risk Factors," in our 2023 Form 10-K for a detailed discussion of risk factors affecting Alaska Air Group.
Figures reported in this filing
Standardized line items from the XBRL in this filing, for the period ended 2024-03-31. Comparative periods it repeats are left out.
| Line item | Period | Value | XBRL concept |
|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 3 months2024-01-01 to 2024-03-31 | $2.23bn | us-gaap:RevenueFromContractWithCustomerExcludingAssessedTax |
| Operating income | 3 months2024-01-01 to 2024-03-31 | −$166.0m | us-gaap:OperatingIncomeLoss |
| Income tax | 3 months2024-01-01 to 2024-03-31 | −$46.0m | us-gaap:IncomeTaxExpenseBenefit |
| Net income | 3 months2024-01-01 to 2024-03-31 | −$132.0m | us-gaap:NetIncomeLoss |
| Diluted EPS | 3 months2024-01-01 to 2024-03-31 | −$1.05 | us-gaap:EarningsPerShareDiluted |
| Basic EPS | 3 months2024-01-01 to 2024-03-31 | −$1.05 | us-gaap:EarningsPerShareBasic |
| Diluted shares (weighted) | 3 months2024-01-01 to 2024-03-31 | 125,970,000 shares | us-gaap:WeightedAverageNumberOfDilutedSharesOutstanding |
| Operating cash flow | 3 months2024-01-01 to 2024-03-31 | $292.0m | us-gaap:NetCashProvidedByUsedInOperatingActivities |
| Capital expenditure | 3 months2024-01-01 to 2024-03-31 | $57.0m | us-gaap:PaymentsToAcquirePropertyPlantAndEquipment |
| Share repurchases | 3 months2024-01-01 to 2024-03-31 | $20.0m | us-gaap:PaymentsForRepurchaseOfCommonStock |
| Cash and equivalents | At period end2024-03-31 | $885.0m | us-gaap:CashAndCashEquivalentsAtCarryingValue |
| Current assets | At period end2024-03-31 | $3.13bn | us-gaap:AssetsCurrent |
| Total assets | At period end2024-03-31 | $14.81bn | us-gaap:Assets |
| Current liabilities | At period end2024-03-31 | $4.83bn | us-gaap:LiabilitiesCurrent |
| Long-term debt | At period end2024-03-31 | $2.26bn | us-gaap:LongTermDebtNoncurrent |
| Current portion of debt | At period end2024-03-31 | $301.0m | us-gaap:LongTermDebtCurrent |
| Shareholders' equity | At period end2024-03-31 | $3.98bn | us-gaap:StockholdersEquity |
Source: SEC EDGAR, the filing index for accession 0000766421-24-000031. Last ingested by Listed: Nov 10, 2026, 05:19 ET. Listed shows no prices and gives no investment advice.