Mbia Inc: Form 10-Q for the period ended Jun 30, 2022

The table below presents purchases or repurchases made by the Company or National in each month during the second quarter of 2022:

(in millions)

(1) 48 shares in April, 71 shares in May and 66 shares in June were repurchased in open market transactions as investments in the Company’s non-qualified deferred compensation plan. 7,904 shares in June were repurchased by the Company in open market transactions for settling awards under the Company’s long term incentive plan.

The Company’s market risk exposures relate to changes in interest rates, foreign exchange rates and credit spreads that affect the fair value of its financial instruments, primarily investment securities, MTNs and investment agreement liabilities. The Company’s investments are primarily U.S. dollar-denominated fixed-income securities including municipal bonds, U.S. government bonds, corporate bonds, MBS and asset-backed securities. In periods of rising and/or volatile interest rates, foreign exchange rates and credit spreads, profitability could be adversely affected should the Company have to liquidate these securities. The Company minimizes its exposure to interest rate risk, foreign exchange risk and credit spread movement through active portfolio management to ensure a proper mix of the types of securities held and to stagger the maturities of its fixed-income securities. The following table presents updates in our market risk relating to foreign exchange rates. There were no material changes in market risk since December 31, 2021 related to interest rates and credit spreads. For a discussion of our quantitative and qualitative disclosures about market risk related to these risks, refer to Part II, Item 7A, “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk” included in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021.

FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATE SENSITIVITY

The Company is exposed to foreign exchange rate risk in respect of liabilities denominated in currencies other than U.S. dollars. Certain liabilities included in our corporate segment are denominated in currencies other than U.S. dollars. The majority of the Company’s foreign exchange rate risks is with the Euro. Foreign exchange rate sensitivity can be estimated by projecting a hypothetical instantaneous increase or decrease in foreign exchange rates. The following table presents the estimated pre-tax change in fair value of the Company’s financial instruments as of June 30, 2022 from instantaneous shifts in foreign exchange rates:

As of the end of the period covered by this report, an evaluation of the effectiveness of the design and operation of the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures (as such term is defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15(d)-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934) was performed under the supervision and with the participation of the Company’s senior management, including the Chief Executive Officer and the Chief Financial Officer. Based on that evaluation, the Company’s management, including the Chief Executive Officer and the Chief Financial Officer, concluded that the Company’s disclosure controls and procedures were effective as of the end of the period covered by this report. In addition, there have not been any changes in the Company’s internal control over financial reporting (as such term is defined in Rules 13a-15(f) and 15d-15(f) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934) during the fiscal quarter to which this report relates that have materially affected, or are likely to materially affect, the Company’s internal control over financial reporting.

The Title III cases for the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico and PBA were confirmed on January 18, 2022, and became effective on March 15, 2022. On April 12, 2021, National, Assured Guaranty Corp., Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. and the Oversight Board reached an agreement in principle settling certain clawback claims and providing for a distribution of cash, bonds and a contingent value instrument to bondholders in the Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority (“HTA”) Title III case subject to completing negotiations on a plan support agreement in respect of an HTA plan of adjustment (the “HTA PSA”). On May 5, 2021, National, Assured Guaranty Corp., Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. and the Oversight Board entered into the HTA PSA. On May 2, 2022, the Oversight Board filed the Title III Plan of Adjustment for the Puerto Rico Highways and Transportation Authority (the “HTA Plan”), together with the Disclosure Statement and supporting documents. On June 22, 2022, the Disclosure Statement was approved by the Court. Confirmation is scheduled for August 17 and 18, 2022. During July of 2022 and pursuant to the HTA PSA, National received $33 million of cash and $358 million face amount of CVI relating to HTA. In addition, National expects to receive additional cash and newly issued HTA bonds, or cash equal to the face amount of the newly issued HTA bonds, following the effective date of the HTA Plan.

On March 8, 2022, the Puerto Rico Fiscal Agency and Financial Advisory Authority (“AAFAF”) and PREPA terminated a Definitive Restructuring Support Agreement (as amended, the “RSA”). On April 8, 2022, the Court appointed a new panel of judges to commence mediation among the Oversight Board, the Ad Hoc creditor group as holders of PREPA Senior Bonds, Assured, National and Syncora (the “April 8 Order”). The mediation deadline is currently August 15, 2022. The April 8 Order further provides that nothing therein acts as a stay of any pending adversary proceedings or contested matters in the PREPA case, subject to the Court’s pending request to the Oversight Board for a status report by August 15, 2022.

Refer to the “U.S. Public Finance Insurance Puerto Rico Exposures” section in Part I, Item 2 of this Form 10-Q for additional information on our Puerto Rico exposures.

MBIA Corp. Risk Factors

Continuing elevated loss payments and delay or failure in realizing expected recoveries on insured transactions may materially and adversely affect MBIA Insurance Corporation’s statutory capital and its ability to meet liquidity needs and could cause the NYSDFS to put MBIA Insurance Corporation into a rehabilitation or liquidation proceeding if the NYSDFS concludes that MBIA Insurance Corporation will not be able to pay expected claims.

MBIA Insurance Corporation is particularly sensitive to the risk that it will not have sufficient capital or liquid resources to meet contractual payment obligations when due or to make settlement payments in order to terminate insured exposures to avoid losses. While management’s expected liquidity and capital forecasts for MBIA Insurance Corporation reflect adequate resources to pay expected claims, there are risks to the capital and liquidity forecasts as MBIA Insurance Corporation’s remaining insured exposures and its expected salvage recoveries are potentially volatile. Such volatility exists in salvage that MBIA Insurance Corporation may collect, including in particular recoveries on the claims it paid in respect of the insured notes issued by Zohar collateralized debt obligation (“CDO”) 2003-1, Limited and Zohar II 2005-1 CDO (collectively, the “Zohar Claims Payments”), and the exposure in its remaining insured portfolio, which could deteriorate and result in significant additional loss reserves and claim payments, including claims on insured exposures that in some cases may require large bullet payments.

In July of 2019, MBIA Insurance Corporation consummated a financing facility (the “Refinanced Facility”) between MZ Funding LLC (“MZ Funding”) and certain purchasers, pursuant to which the purchasers or their affiliates (collectively, the “Senior Lenders”), agreed to refinance the outstanding insured senior notes of MZ Funding, and MBIA Inc. received amended subordinated notes of MZ Funding. In connection with the Refinanced Facility, the Senior Lenders purchased new senior notes issued by MZ Funding with an aggregate principal amount of $278 million. During 2021, MBIA Corp. repaid in full the outstanding amount of the insured senior notes and in April of 2022, the remaining subordinated notes of MZ Funding matured and MBIA Corp. repaid in full. The Refinanced Facility is described in more detail in “Note 10: Debt” in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2021 and in the “Liquidity and Capital Resources” section in Part I, Item 2 of this Form 10-Q.