Vaxart, Inc.: Form 10-Q for the period ended Dec 31, 2017

FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS

This Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q contains forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. In most cases, you can identify forward-looking statements by terms such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “could,” “would,” “expect,” “plan,” “intend,” “anticipate,” “believe,” “estimate,” “project,” “predict,” “forecast,” “potential,” “likely” or “possible”, as well as the negative of such expressions, and similar expressions intended to identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include, without limitation, statements relating to:

• our expectations as to when top-line safety and efficacy data for BTA074 (teslexivir) are expected;
• our anticipation that we will generally incur net losses from operations in the future due to our intention to continue to support the preclinical and clinical development of our product candidates;
• our future financing requirements, the factors that may influence the timing and amount of those requirements and our ability to fund them;
• the number of months that our current cash, cash equivalents, investments and anticipated future proceeds from existing royalty-bearing licenses will allow us to operate; and
• the expected post-Merger share ownership split between Vaxart and Aviragen stockholders and anticipated timing of the closing of the Merger.

Various important factors could cause actual results, performance, events or achievements to materially differ from those expressed or implied by forward-looking statements, including the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (“FDA”) or a similar regulatory body in another country, a data safety monitoring board, or an institutional review board delaying, limiting, suspending or terminating any of the Company’s clinical development programs at any time for a lack of safety, efficacy, tolerability, anti-viral activity, commercial viability, regulatory or manufacturing issues, or any other reason whatsoever; the Company's ability to secure, manage and retain qualified third-party clinical research, preclinical research, data management and contract manufacturing organizations upon which it relies to assist in the design, development, implementation and execution of the clinical and preclinical development of all its product candidates; and these third-party organizations fulfilling their contractual obligations on a timely and satisfactory basis; the safety or efficacy data from planned or ongoing future preclinical and clinical studies of any of its product candidates not supporting the clinical development of that product candidate; the successful enrollment of the requisite number of study participants on a timely basis; the Company’s ability to comply with applicable government regulations in various countries and regions in which we are conducting, or expect to conduct, clinical trials; the Company’s ability to retain and recruit sufficient staff, including key executive management and employees, to manage our business; the Company’s ability to maintain, protect or defend its proprietary rights from unauthorized use by others, or not infringe on the intellectual property rights of others; our ability to successfully manage our expenses, operating results and financial position in line with our plans and expectations; the condition of the financial equity and debt markets and our ability to raise sufficient funding in such markets; changes in the general economic business or competitive conditions in the industry or with respect to our product candidates; potential employee resignations on short notice; provisions in certificate of incorporation, bylaws and laws of Delaware containing provisions that could delay or discourage a change in control of the Company; the Company’s obtaining the requisite stockholder approval and other conditions to the Merger being satisfied; and other cautionary statements contained elsewhere in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and in the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended June 30, 2017, as filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission on September 1, 2017.

There may be events in the future that we are unable to predict accurately, or over which we have no control. You should completely read this Form 10-Q and the documents that we reference herein that have been filed or incorporated by reference as exhibits and with the understanding that our actual future results may be materially different from what we expect. Our business, financial condition, results of operations, and prospects may change. We may not update these forward-looking statements, even though our situation may change in the future, unless we have an obligation under the federal securities laws to update and disclose material developments related to previously disclosed information. We qualify all of the information presented in this Form 10-Q, and particularly our forward-looking statements, by these cautionary statements.

Aviragen is a registered trademark of Aviragen Therapeutics Inc., Relenza® is a registered trademark of GlaxoSmithKline plc, and Inavir® is a registered trademark of Daiichi Sankyo Company, Ltd.

References to “we,” “us,” and “our” refer to Aviragen Therapeutics, Inc. and its subsidiaries.

The following is a discussion and analysis of the major factors contributing to our results of operations for the three and six months ended December 31, 2017, and our financial condition at that date, and should be read in conjunction with the financial statements and the notes thereto included in Part I, Item 1 of this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q.

Company Overview

We are focused on the discovery and development of direct-acting antivirals to treat infections that have limited therapeutic options and affect a significant number of patients globally. The Company has three Phase 2 clinical stage compounds: BTA074 (teslexivir), an antiviral treatment for condyloma caused by human papillomavirus types 6 & 11; vapendavir, a capsid inhibitor for the prevention or treatment of rhinovirus (“RV”) upper respiratory infections; and BTA585 (enzaplatovir), a fusion protein inhibitor in development for the treatment of respiratory syncytial virus infections.

Although several of our influenza product candidates have been successfully developed and commercialized to date by other larger pharmaceutical companies under license, collaboration or commercialization agreements with us, we have not independently developed or received regulatory approval for any product candidate, and we do not currently have any sales, marketing or commercial capabilities. Therefore, it is possible that we may not derive any significant product revenues from any product candidates that we are developing now, or may develop in the future. We expect to incur losses for the foreseeable future as we intend to support the clinical and preclinical development of our product candidates.

On October 30, 2017, the Company announced that it had entered into the Merger Agreement pursuant to which Vaxart, a privately-held clinical-stage company focused on developing oral recombinant vaccines from its proprietary delivery platform, would become a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Company. This transaction marks the culmination of the Company’s Strategic Review process which was initiated in April. The Merger will result in a clinical-stage pharmaceutical company focused on developing Vaxart’s oral recombinant vaccines and our direct-acting antivirals to treat infections that have limited therapeutic options. We believe Vaxart’s oral tablet vaccines have the potential to be major products in the worldwide vaccine market.

The exchange ratio in the merger agreement was determined by Vaxart assigning $60,000,000 in value to Aviragen for its financial and clinical assets, and $90,000,000 in value for its own assets. On a pro forma basis after giving effect to the number of shares of Aviragen common stock that will be issued to Vaxart security holders in the Merger and assuming no adjustments for cash balances as provided for in the Merger Agreement, current Vaxart security holders will own approximately 60% of the combined company and current Aviragen security holders will own approximately 40% of the combined company. The transaction has been approved by the boards of directors of both companies. The Merger is expected to close in February 2018, subject to the approval of the stockholders of each company as well as other customary conditions.

At the end of the quarter, a small group of dissident stockholders, who call themselves the Concerned Aviragen Shareholders (“CAS”) Group, launched a proxy contest against the proposed merger with Vaxart and are seeking an opportunity to nominate individuals for election to the Company’s Board at our upcoming Annual Meeting. We continue to believe the proposed merger with Vaxart is the best possible strategic alternative, and together, Aviragen and Vaxart will have the potential to create meaningful value for stockholders.

CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES

Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Results of Operations discusses our financial results, which (except to the extent described in the Notes thereto) have been presented in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (“U.S. GAAP”). The preparation of financial statements requires us to make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities and the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the financial statements and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period.

We base our estimates and judgments on historical experience, current economic and industry conditions, and various other factors that we believe to be reasonable under the circumstances. This forms the basis for making judgments about the carrying values of assets and liabilities that are not readily apparent from other sources. Actual results may differ from these estimates under different assumptions or conditions. We believe there have been no changes to our critical accounting policies that require significant judgment and estimates as discussed in detail in our 2017 annual 10-K filing:

• Use of estimates
• Revenue recognition
• Accrued expenses
• Share-based compensation

For a description of recent accounting policies and the impact on our financial statements, refer to Note 2 in the condensed consolidated financial statements.

Results of Operations for the Three months ended December 31, 2017 and December 31, 2016

Summary. For the three months ended December 31, 2017, we reported a net loss of $3.4 million, as compared to a net loss of $9.1 million in the same period of the prior fiscal year. Basic and diluted net loss per share was $0.09 for the three month period ended December 31, 2017, as compared to a basic and diluted net loss per share of $0.24 in the same period of 2016. The following commentary provides details underlying changes from last year in the major line items of our statement of operations:

Revenue. Revenue decreased to $2.7 million for the three month periods ended December 31, 2017, as compared to $3.8 million in the same period in 2016, mostly due to a decrease in our Relenza royalties. Relenza revenue declined to zero in the three months ended December 31, 2017 from $1.5 million in the same period of the prior fiscal year due to the cessation of royalties on U.S. sales at the end of 2016 and the unfavorable impact of a returns adjustment in the current quarter. The following table summarizes the key components of our revenue for the three months ended December 31, 2017 and 2016:

(in millions)

Research and Development Expense. Research and development expense decreased to $2.5 million for the three months ended December 31, 2017 from $10.2 million for the same period in 2016. The following table summarizes the components of our research and development expense for the three months ended December 31, 2017 and 2016.

(in millions)

Direct preclinical, clinical and product development expense decreased largely due to reduced clinical trial activity and manufacturing costs, as two of our three Phase 2 clinical trials came to a close at the end of the prior fiscal year. Salaries, severance and share-based compensation expenses did not change as compared to the same period in 2016, as decreases due to reductions in personnel in the last quarter of the prior fiscal year were offset by severance expense for employees terminated in the current quarter.

General and Administrative Expense. General and administrative expense increased to $3.1 million for the three months ended December 31, 2017 from $2.1 million for the same period in 2016, largely due to legal and professional fees related to the proposed merger with Vaxart announced in October 2017 and severance due to a reduction in personnel. The following table summarizes the components of our general and administrative expense for the three months ended December 31, 2017 and 2016.

(in millions)

Foreign Exchange Loss (Gain), net. The impact of foreign exchange changed from a loss of $0.1 million in December 31, 2016 to no gain or loss for three months ended December 31, 2017. The positive impact on foreign exchange on our statement of operations was due to fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates versus the U.S. dollar, largely related to the British Pound and Australian dollar. The vast majority of our cash holdings are held in the U.S. dollar. We re-measure all of our foreign assets and liabilities at the period-end exchange rate and the net effect of these translation adjustments is shown as a foreign currency loss or gain.

Results of Operations for the Six months ended December 31, 2017 and December 31, 2016

Summary. For the six months ended December 31, 2017, we reported a net loss of $8.7 million, as compared to a net loss of $19.1 million in the same period of the prior fiscal year. Basic and diluted net loss per share was $0.23 for the six month period ended December 31, 2017, as compared to a basic and diluted net loss per share of $0.49 in the same period of 2016. The following commentary provides details underlying changes from last year in the major line items of our statement of operations:

Revenue. Revenue decreased to $2.8 million for the six month periods ended December 31, 2017, as compared to $3.9 million in the same period in 2016, mostly due to a decrease in our Relenza royalties. Relenza revenue declined to zero in the six months ended December 31, 2017 from $1.6 million in the same period of the prior fiscal year due to the cessation of royalties on U.S. sales at the end of 2016 and the unfavorable impact of a returns adjustment in the current year. The following table summarizes the key components of our revenue for the six months ended December 31, 2017 and 2016:

(in millions)

Research and Development Expense. Research and development expense decreased to $5.3 million for the six months ended December 31, 2017 from $17.8 million for the same period in 2016. The following table summarizes the components of our research and development expense for the six months ended December 31, 2017 and 2016.

(in millions)

Direct preclinical, clinical and product development expense decreased largely due to reduced clinical trial activity and manufacturing costs, as two of our three Phase 2 clinical trials came to a close at the end of the prior fiscal year. Salaries, severance and share-based compensation expenses decreased compared to the same period in 2016 due to a reduction in personnel in the last quarter of the prior fiscal year, partially offset by severance expense for employees terminated in the current year.

General and Administrative Expense. General and administrative expense increased to $5.4 million for the six months ended December 31, 2017 from $4.3 million for the same period in 2016, largely due to legal and professional fees related to the proposed merger with Vaxart announced in October 2017 and severance due to a reduction in personnel. The following table summarizes the components of our general and administrative expense for the six months ended December 31, 2017 and 2016.

(in millions)

LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

For the six months ended December 31, 2017, cash and cash equivalents increased by $11.7 million. This increase was primarily the result of the maturities of our short-term investments.

Net cash used by operating activities was $9.2 million for the six months ended December 31, 2017, which reflected our net loss during the period of $8.7 million, a net decrease in a net operating assets of $0.5 million and a decrease in operating liabilities of $0.1 million, partially offset by net non-cash adjustments of $1.1 million. Non-cash adjustments consist of $2.7 million in non-cash royalty income, net of withholding taxes, partially offset by $0.8 million in non-cash interest expense and $0.8 million in share-based compensation expense.

Our net loss resulted largely from our funding of research and development activities including conducting the CT4 clinical trial for BTA074 (teslexivir), as well as ongoing general and administrative expenses including legal and professional fees related to the proposed merger with Vaxart. The net changes in operating assets and liabilities primarily reflects a $0.1 million decrease in accounts payable and accrued expense due to reduced clinical trial activity, offset by a $0.2 million decrease in prepaid expenses, also due to reduced clinical trial activity and a $0.3 million decrease in cash receivables primarily related to receipt of a research and development tax credit.

Net cash provided by investing activities during the six months ended December 31, 2017 consisted of the maturity of $27.9 million of investments, partially offset by the purchase of $7.0 million of investments.

At December 31, 2017, our cash and cash equivalents totaled $29.4 million. Our cash and cash equivalents are currently held in the form of short-term deposits with large U.S. banks, commercial paper and highly-rated corporate securities.

Based on our current strategy and operating plan, and considering the potential costs associated with advancing the preclinical and clinical development of our product candidates, we believe that our existing cash and cash equivalents of approximately $29.4 million as of December 31, 2017, along with the anticipated proceeds from existing royalty-bearing licenses will enable us to operate for a period of at least 12 months from the date of this report.

We have an ATM facility in place, which may allow us to quickly access the equity capital markets if we think it is prudent to do so and if market conditions allow. However, we currently do not have any commitments for future funding, nor do we anticipate that we will generate significant revenue, aside from revenue from existing royalty-bearing arrangements.

Contractual and Commercial Commitments

There have been no material changes from the information included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2017.

Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements

We do not have any off-balance sheet arrangements, as defined in Item 303(a)(4) (ii) of Regulation S-K under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended.

There has been no material change in our assessment of sensitivity to market risk since our presentation set forth in Item 7A “Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risk” in the our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2017.

Evaluation of Disclosure Controls and Procedures

Our management, including our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer, evaluated the effectiveness of our disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended) as of the end of the period covered by this report. Based on that evaluation, our Chief Executive Officer and Chief Financial Officer concluded that our disclosure controls and procedures were effective as of the end of the period covered by this report.

Changes in Internal Controls over Financial Reporting

There has been no change in our internal control over financial reporting during the quarter ended December 31, 2017 that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.

Any investment in our business involves a high degree of risk. Before making an investment decision, you should carefully consider the information we include in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, including our condensed consolidated financial statements and accompanying notes, and the additional information in the other reports we file with the Securities and Exchange Commission along with the risks described in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2017. The Company is also subject to the risk factors set forth under the captions “Risks Related to the Merger,” “Risks Related to Aviragen” and “Risks Related to the Combined Company” in the Prospectus that is part of the Registration Statement on Form S-4 (File No. 333-222009), as amended, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission by the Company and declared effective on December 29, 2017. We have also described below those risks that reflect substantive changes from, or additions to, the risks described in our Annual Report on Form 10-K and Form S-4, as amended, referred to above. These risks may result in material harm to our business and our financial condition and results of operations. In this event, the market price of our common stock may decline and you could lose part or all of your investment.

We may be subject to the actions of activist shareholders.

We have been the subject of increased activity by activist shareholders, including Digirad Corporation, East Hill Management Company, LLC, Thomas M. Clay, and certain other investors (collectively, the “Activist Group”). Responding to shareholder activism can be costly and time-consuming, disrupt our operations and divert the attention of management and our employees. Activist campaigns, including the Activist Group’s ongoing campaign against our proposed transaction with Vaxart and the Activist Group’s notice of its intention to nominate a competing director slate for election at our annual stockholder meeting scheduled for April 11, 2018, can create uncertainties as to our future direction, strategy and leadership and may result in the loss of potential business opportunities and cause our stock price to experience periods of volatility. Moreover, if individuals are elected to our board of directors with a specific agenda, our ability to effectively and timely implement our current initiatives, retain and attract experienced executives and employees and execute on our current business strategy may be adversely affected.