Evolution Petroleum Corp: Form 10-Q for the period ended Sep 30, 2024

Executive Overview

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Results of Operations

Critical Accounting Policies

Commonly Used Terms

“Current quarter” refers to the three months ended September 30, 2024, our first quarter of fiscal year 2025.

“Year-ago quarter” refers to the three months ended September 30, 2023, our first quarter of fiscal year 2024.

Executive Overview

General

Evolution Petroleum Corporation is an independent energy company focused on maximizing total returns to its shareholders through the ownership of and investment in onshore oil and natural gas properties in the United States. In support of that objective, our long-term goal is to maximize total shareholder return from a diversified portfolio of long-life oil and natural gas properties built through acquisitions and through selective development opportunities, production enhancements, and other exploitation efforts on our oil and natural gas properties.

Our oil and natural gas properties consist of non-operated interests in the SCOOP and STACK plays of the Anadarko Basin located in central Oklahoma; the Chaveroo oilfield in Chaves and Roosevelt Counties of New Mexico; Jonah Field in Sublette County, Wyoming; the Williston Basin in North Dakota; the Barnett Shale located in North Texas; the Hamilton Dome Field located in Hot Springs County, Wyoming; the Delhi Holt-Bryant Unit in the Delhi Field in Northeast Louisiana; and small overriding royalty interests in four onshore central Texas wells.

Our non-operated interests in the SCOOP and STACK plays consist of oil and natural gas producing properties in the Anadarko basin, where we hold approximately 2.6% average net working interest and approximately 2.0% average net revenue interests located on approximately 103,700 gross or 4,200 net acres (approximately 96% held by production), across Blaine, Canadian, Carter, Custer, Dewey, Garvin, Grady, Kingfisher, McClain, Murray, and Stephens counties in Oklahoma. The oil and natural gas properties are operated by Continental Resources, Inc., Ovintiv USA Inc. and EOG Resources, Inc. with approximately 40% of wells operated by other operators.

Our non-operated interests in the Chaveroo oilfield consist of a 50% net working interest, with an average associated 41% revenue interest, in approximately 3,200 gross or 1,600 net acres all held by production, associated with five development blocks with the right to acquire the same working interest in additional development locations and associated acreage at a fixed price. The field is operated by PEDEVCO Corp. (“PEDEVCO”).

Our non-operated interests in the Jonah Field, a natural gas and NGL property in Sublette County, Wyoming, consist of approximately 20% average net working interest and approximately 15% average net revenue interest located on approximately 5,300 gross or 950 net acres all held by production. The properties are operated by Jonah Energy.

Our non-operated interests in the Williston Basin, an oil and natural gas producing property, consist of approximately 39% average net working interest and approximately 33% average net revenue interest located on approximately 141,400 gross or 42,200 net acres (approximately 95% held by production) across Billings, Golden Valley, and McKenzie Counties in North Dakota. The properties are operated by Foundation Energy Management.

Our non-operated interests in the Barnett Shale, a natural gas and NGL producing shale reservoir, consist of approximately 17% average net working interest and approximately 14% average net revenue interest (inclusive of small overriding royalty interests). The approximately 123,800 gross or 21,000 net acres are held by production across nine North Texas counties. The oil and natural gas properties are primarily operated by Diversified Energy Company with approximately 10% of wells operated by six other operators.

Our non-operated interests in the Hamilton Dome Field, a secondary recovery field utilizing water injection wells to pressurize the reservoir, consist of approximately 24% average net working interest, with an associated 20% average net revenue interest (inclusive of a small overriding royalty interest). The approximately 5,900 gross acre unitized field, of which we hold approximately 1,400 net acres, is operated by Merit Energy Company, who owns the majority of the remaining working interest in the Hamilton Dome Field. The Hamilton Dome Field is located in the southwest region of the Big Horn Basin in northwest Wyoming.

Our non-operated interests in the Delhi Field, a CO2-EOR project, consist of approximately 24% average net working interest, with an associated 19% revenue interest and separate overriding royalty and mineral interests of approximately 7% yielding a total average net revenue interest of approximately 26%. The field is operated by Denbury Onshore LLC, a subsidiary of Exxon Mobil Corporation. The approximately 13,600 gross acre unitized Delhi Field, of which we hold approximately 3,200 net acres, is located in northeast Louisiana in Franklin, Madison, and Richland Parishes.

Recent Developments

At-the-Market (“ATM”) Equity Sales Program

On October 21, 2024, we entered into an ATM equity Sales Agreement (the “ATM Sales Agreement”) with Roth Capital Partners, LLC (the “Lead Agent”), Northland Securities Inc., and A.G.P./Alliance Global Partners pursuant to which we may issue and sell, from time to time, up to $30.0 million of shares of common stock through or to the Lead Agent, acting as agent or principal. We have not sold any shares of common stock under the ATM Sales agreement and are not obligated to sell any shares of common stock in the future. We intend to use the net proceeds from any sales of common stock for general corporate purposes, including to redeem or repay outstanding indebtedness.

Dividend Declaration

On November 11, 2024, Evolution’s Board of Directors approved and declared a quarterly dividend of $0.12 per common share payable December 31, 2024.

Risks and uncertainties

The oil and natural gas industry is a global market impacted by many factors, such as government regulations, particularly in the areas of trade sanctions, taxation, energy, climate change and the environment, geopolitical instability and armed conflicts (including between Russia and Ukraine and in the Middle East between Israel and Gaza), demand in Asian and European markets, and the extent to which members of OPEC and other oil exporting nations manage oil supply through export quotas. Natural gas prices are generally determined by North American supply and demand and are also affected by imports and exports of liquefied natural gas. Weather also has a significant impact on demand for natural gas since it is a primary heating source.

Oil and natural gas prices have been, and we expect may continue to be, volatile. Lower oil and natural gas prices not only decrease our revenues, but an extended decline in oil or natural gas prices may affect planned capital expenditures and the oil and natural gas reserves that we can economically produce. Lower oil and natural gas prices may also reduce the amount of our borrowing base under our Senior Secured Credit Facility, which is determined at the discretion of the lenders based on various factors including the collateral value of our proved reserves, as well as the dividend rate determined by the Board of Directors each quarter.

At times, we maintain cash balances in excess of the U.S. Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (“FDIC”). We utilize insured cash sweep deposits to maximize the amount of our cash that is protected by FDIC insurance.

Currently, our oil and natural gas properties are operated by third-party operators and involve other third-party working interest owners. As a result, we have limited ability to influence the operation or future development of such properties. Despite these uncertainties, we remain focused on our long-term objectives and continue to be proactive with our third-party operators to review the management of capital expenditures.

Given the dynamic nature of these factors and events, we cannot reasonably estimate the period of time that certain market conditions will persist. Nor can we predict the broader impact of liquidity concerns around financial institutions; the impact to long-term cost of capital or economic growth as a result of the Federal Reserve’s policies; or the impact on the commodity prices that we realize.

Liquidity and Capital Resources

As of September 30, 2024, we had $6.9 million in cash and cash equivalents and $39.5 million outstanding borrowings on our Senior Secured Credit Facility compared to $6.4 million in cash and cash equivalents and $39.5 million borrowings outstanding on our Senior Secured Credit Facility at June 30, 2024. Our primary sources of liquidity and capital resources during the three months ended September 30, 2024 were cash provided by operations. Our primary uses of liquidity and capital resources for the three months ended September 30, 2024 were our cash dividend payments to our common stockholders and development capital expenditures. As of September 30, 2024, working capital was $8.5 million, an increase of $2.6 million from working capital of $5.9 million as of June 30, 2024.

The Senior Secured Credit Facility has a maximum capacity of $50.0 million subject to a borrowing base determined by the lender based on the value of our oil and natural gas properties. The Senior Secured Credit Facility has a current borrowing base of $50.0 million, with $39.5 million drawn as of September 30, 2024. The Senior Secured Credit Facility is secured by substantially all of our oil and natural gas properties and matures on April 9, 2026.

Borrowings bear interest, at our option, at either the SOFR plus 2.80% or the Prime Rate, as defined under the Senior Secured Credit Facility, plus 1.0%. For the three months ended September 30, 2024, the weighted average interest on our borrowings was 8.09%. The Senior Secured Credit Facility contains covenants requiring the maintenance of (i) a total leverage ratio of not more than 3.00 to 1.00, (ii) a current ratio of not less than 1.00 to 1.00, and (iii) a consolidated tangible net worth of not less than $40.0 million, each as defined in the Senior Secured Credit Facility. It also contains other customary affirmative and negative covenants, including a hedging covenant discussed below, and events of default. As of September 30, 2024, we were in compliance with all covenants under the Senior Secured Credit Facility.

The Senior Credit Agreement contains hedging requirements that apply when there is 25% or more utilization of the Margined Collateral Value, as defined in the Senior Credit Agreement, to the extent it exceeds the borrowing base then in effect. At each redetermination, our Margined Collateral Value takes into account the estimated value of our oil and natural gas properties, proved developed reserves, total indebtedness, and other relevant factors consistent with customary oil and natural gas lending criteria. On February 12, 2024, we entered into an amendment to the Senior Secured Credit Facility. This amendment required that we enter into hedges for the next 12-month period, and on a rolling 12-month basis thereafter, covering expected crude oil and natural gas production from proved developed reserves, calculated separately, equal to a minimum of 40% of expected crude oil production each month, or 25% each of expected crude oil and natural gas production each month over that period. Thus, we have the option to choose whether to hedge 40% of expected crude oil production or 25% each of expected crude oil and natural gas production.

We have historically funded operations through cash from operations and working capital. Our primary source of cash is the sale of produced crude oil, natural gas, and NGLs. A portion of these cash flows is used to fund capital expenditures and pay cash dividends to shareholders. We expect to fund near-future capital development activities for our properties with cash flows from operating activities, existing working capital and, as needed, borrowings under our Senior Secured Credit Facility and any proceeds from ATM Sales Agreement (as described in “Recent Developments” above).

We are pursuing new growth opportunities through acquisitions and other transactions. In addition to cash on hand, we have access to the undrawn portion of the borrowing base available under our Senior Secured Credit Facility, totaling $10.5 million as of September 30, 2024. We also have an effective shelf registration statement with the SEC under which we may issue up to $500.0 million of new debt or equity securities.

On October 21, 2024, we entered into an ATM Sales Agreement with Roth Capital Partners, LLC as our Lead Agent, Northland Securities Inc., and A.G.P./Alliance Global Partners pursuant to which we may issue and sell, from time to time, up to $30.0 million of shares of common stock through or to the Lead Agent, acting as agent or principal. We have not sold any shares of our common stock under the ATM Sales Agreement and are not obligated to sell any shares of common stock in the future.

Our Board of Directors instituted a cash dividend on common stock in December 2013. We have since paid 44 consecutive quarterly dividends. Distribution of a substantial portion of free cash flow in excess of operating and capital requirements through cash dividends remains a priority of our financial strategy, and it is our long-term goal to increase dividends over time, as appropriate. On November 11, 2024, the Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.12 per share of common stock to shareholders of record on December 13, 2024 and payable on December 31, 2024.

Capital Expenditures

During the three months ending September 30, 2024, we incurred $1.0 million on development capital expenditures. During the first quarter of 2024, capital spending occurred at our fields, including the SCOOP/STACK properties where our operators are actively drilling and have brought seven gross wells online. Based on discussions with our operators, we expect capital workover projects to continue in most of our fields throughout the year.

Overall, for fiscal year 2025, we expect budgeted capital expenditures to be in the range of $12.5 million to $14.5 million, which excludes any potential acquisitions. Our expected capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 include the seven gross wells brought online at our SCOOP/STACK properties, discussed above, bringing an additional eight gross wells online at our SCOOP/STACK properties, the drilling and completion of four new wells at Chaveroo Field, and the drilling and completion of one new well at Delhi Field Test Site V.

Full Cost Pool Ceiling Test

Under the full cost method of accounting, capitalized costs of oil and natural gas properties, net of accumulated depletion, depreciation, and amortization and related deferred taxes, are limited to the estimated future net cash flows from proved oil and natural gas reserves, discounted at 10%, plus the lower of cost or fair value of unproved properties, as adjusted for related income tax effects (the valuation “ceiling”). If capitalized costs exceed the full cost ceiling, the excess would be charged to expense as a write-down of oil and natural gas properties in the quarter in which the excess occurred. The quarterly ceiling test calculation requires that we use the average first day of the month price for our petroleum products during the 12-month period ending with the balance sheet date. The prices used in calculating our ceiling test as of September 30, 2024 were $79.40 per barrel of oil, $2.21 per MMBtu of natural gas and $23.63 per barrel of NGLs. As of September 30, 2024, our capitalized costs of oil and natural gas properties were below the full cost valuation ceiling. If commodity price levels were to substantially decline from the 12-month average first day of the month pricing levels as of September 30, 2024 and remain down for a prolonged period of time, our valuation ceiling over our capitalized costs may be reduced and adversely impact our ceiling test results in future quarters. While a 10% reduction in respective commodity prices at September 30, 2024, while all other factors remained constant, would not have generated an impairment, we cannot give assurance that a write-down of capitalized oil and natural gas properties will not be required in the future.

Overview of Cash Flow Activities

Cash provided by operating activities for the three months ended September 30, 2024 increased $3.3 million compared to the three months ended September 30, 2023 primarily due to an increase in revenues. Total revenues increased $1.3 million as compared to the prior year period primarily due increased production volumes partially offset by lower commodity prices. Our average daily production increased 1,021 BOEPD or 15.8% from the prior year period; however our average realized price per barrel of oil equivalent (“BOE”) decreased $2.85, or 8.2% from the prior year period. Refer to “Results of Operations” below for further information.

Cash used in investing activities for the three months ended September 30, 2024 increased $1.2 million compared to the three months ended September 30, 2023 primarily due to the addition of our SCOOP/STACK properties since the prior year period and the active drilling and completion projects of our operators in the field.

Net cash flows used in financing activities were approximately $4.1 million for each of the three months ended September 30, 2024 and 2023. For each of the three months ended, September 30, 2024 and 2023, we paid $4.0 million in cash dividends to our common stockholders.

Results of Operations

Three Months Ended September 30, 2024 and 2023

We reported net income of $2.1 million and $1.5 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024 and 2023, respectively. The following table summarizes the comparison of financial information for the periods presented:

(in thousands, except per unit and per BOE amounts)

(1) Equivalent oil reserves are defined as six MCF of natural gas and 42 gallons of NGLs to one barrel of oil conversion ratio which reflects energy equivalence and not price equivalence. Natural gas prices per MCF and NGL prices per barrel often differ significantly from the equivalent amount of oil.

(2) Amounts exclude the impact of cash paid or received on the settlement of derivative contracts since we did not elect to apply hedge accounting.

Revenues

Crude oil, natural gas and NGL revenues were $21.9 million and $20.6 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024 and 2023, respectively. The increase in revenues is primarily due to an increase in production volumes partially offset by the decrease in our average realized price per BOE. Average daily equivalent production increased 15.8% from 6,457 BOEPD in the prior year period to 7,478 BOEPD in the current period as a result of the acquisitions of non-operated working interests in the SCOOP/STACK properties in February 2024 and first production at our wells in the Chaveroo Field in early February 2024, which collectively increased production for the three months ended September 30, 2024 by approximately 1,600 BOEPD. The overall increase in production is partially offset by natural production declines in our other fields combined with reduced oil recovery at Delhi Field as the field experienced reduced CO2 injected volumes during the quarter. Similar to last quarter, downtime from one of the CO2 recycle compressors at Delhi Field reduced CO2 injection volumes for part of the current quarter. The compressor was replaced, and full CO2 recycling resumed in mid-July 2024. The CO2 purchase pipeline was taken offline for preventative maintenance at the end of February 2024 and has remained down since then. The operator anticipates resuming CO2 purchases in October 2025. Our average realized commodity price (excluding the impact of derivative contracts) for the three months ended September 30, 2024 decreased approximately $2.85 per BOE, or 8.2%, over the prior year period. The amount we realize for our production depends predominantly upon commodity prices, which are affected by changes in market demand and supply, as impacted by overall economic activity, weather, inventory storage levels, basis differentials and other factors. Realized natural gas prices decreased 29.9% from the year-ago quarter, which was the largest portion of the driver of the decrease in revenues.

Lease Operating Costs

Ad valorem and production taxes were $1.4 million and $1.3 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024 and 2023, respectively. On a per unit basis, ad valorem and production taxes were $2.06 per BOE and $2.15 per BOE for the three months ended September 30, 2024 and 2023, respectively. The decrease in ad valorem and production taxes on a per BOE basis is primarily due to decreases in oil and natural gas prices since the year-ago quarter.

Gathering, transportation and other costs were $2.7 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024 compared to $1.8 million for the three months ended September 30, 2023. Costs include gathering, transportation and processing fees we incur primarily for our natural gas producing properties. The increase is primarily due to the acquisitions of non-operated working interests in the SCOOP/STACK plays in February 2024 which added $0.5 million in gathering transportation and other costs for the three months ended September 30, 2024. On a per unit basis, gathering transportation and other costs were $3.89 per BOE and $3.09 per BOE for the three months ended September 30, 2024 and 2023, respectively.

Other lease operating costs decreased $1.1 million, or 12.2%, compared to the year-ago quarter primarily due to decreased CO2 purchases at Delhi. We did not purchase any CO2 at Delhi for the three months ended September 30, 2024 compared to purchases of $1.6 million in the year-ago quarter. On a per unit basis, other lease operating costs decreased to $11.19 per BOE for the three months ended September 30, 2024 from $14.77 per BOE in the year-ago quarter.

Depletion of Full Cost Proved Oil and Natural Gas Properties

Depletion expense increased $1.4 million or 36.2% from $3.9 million to $5.3 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024 primarily due to an increase in the depletion rate. On a per unit basis, depletion expense was $7.74 per BOE and $6.58 per BOE for the three months ended September 30, 2024 and 2023, respectively. The depletion rate of our unit of production calculation increased due to an increase in our depletable base due to our SCOOP/STACK Acquisitions and capital expenditures since the year-ago quarter.

General and Administrative Expenses

General and administrative expenses for the three months ended September 30, 2024 and 2023 were $2.0 million and $2.1 million, respectively. On a per unit basis, general and administrative expenses were $2.86 per BOE and $3.59 per

BOE for the three months ended September 30, 2024 and 2023, respectively. The decrease primarily relates to lower transaction and consulting fees.

Stock-based Compensation Expense

Stock-based compensation expense for the three months ended September 30, 2024 increased $0.1 million to $0.6 million compared to $0.5 million for the year-ago quarter. The increase is associated with new awards granted since the year-ago quarter.

Net Gain (Loss) on Derivative Contracts

Periodically, we utilize commodity derivative financial instruments to reduce our exposure to fluctuations in oil and natural gas prices. We have elected not to designate our open derivative contracts for hedge accounting, and accordingly, we recorded the net change in the mark-to-market valuation of the derivative contracts in the unaudited condensed consolidated statements of operations. The amounts recorded on the unaudited condensed consolidated statements of operations related to derivative contracts represent the (i) gains (losses) related to fair value adjustments on our open, or unrealized, derivative contracts, and (ii) gains (losses) on settlements of derivative contracts for positions that have settled or been realized. The table below summarizes our net realized and unrealized gains (losses) on derivative contracts as well as the impact of net realized gains (losses) on our average realized prices for the periods presented. As a result of our SCOOP/STACK Acquisitions in February 2024 and the corresponding borrowings on our Senior Secured Credit Facility, we were required by terms in our Senior Secured Credit Facility to hedge a portion of our production. The decrease in forward commodity prices as of September 30, 2024, resulted in an unrealized gain on the mark-to-market of our hedges. As of September 30, 2024, we had $1.5 million derivative assets, $1.3 million of which was classified as current, and $0.5 million derivative liabilities, $0.2 million of which was classified as current.

(in thousands, except per unit and per BOE amounts)

Interest Expense

Interest expense increased $0.8 million for the three months ended September 30, 2024 compared to the prior year period primarily due to borrowings drawn on our Senior Secured Credit Facility to finance our SCOOP/STACK Acquisitions in February 2024. In addition, the weighted average interest rate on our borrowings was 8.09% for the three months ended September 30, 2024.

Income Tax (Expense) Benefit

For the three months ended September 30, 2024, we recognized income tax expense of $0.8 million on net income before income taxes of $2.9 million compared to income tax expense of $0.5 million on net income before income taxes of $1.9 million for the three months ended September 30, 2023. The effective tax rates were 28.4% and 23.9% for three months ended September 30, 2024 and 2023, respectively. The effective tax rate increased compared to the year-ago quarter as projected state income taxes have become a larger component of our overall income tax expense during the current quarter.

Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates

Our discussion and analysis of our financial condition and results of operations are based upon the unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements. The preparation of financial statements in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America requires that we select certain accounting policies and make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of the assets, liabilities, and disclosures of contingent assets and liabilities as of the date of the balance sheet as well as the reported amounts of revenues and expenses during the reporting period. These policies, together with our estimates, have a significant effect on our unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements. There have been no material changes to our critical accounting policies from those described in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2024.

Derivative Instruments and Hedging Activity

We are exposed to various risks, including energy commodity price risk, such as price differentials between the NYMEX commodity price and the index price at the location where our production is sold. When oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids prices decline significantly, our ability to finance our capital budget and operations may be adversely impacted. We expect energy prices to remain volatile and unpredictable, therefore we monitor commodity prices to identify the potential need for the use of derivative financial instruments to provide partial protection against declines in oil and natural gas prices. We do not enter into derivative contracts for speculative trading purposes. In accordance with our Senior Secured Credit Facility, we may be required to enter into hedges if we meet certain utilization levels of the borrowing base under the credit facility. We intend to remain in compliance with these covenants and will enter into derivative contracts from time to time to meet the requirements. Additionally, depending on market conditions, financial and other considerations we may enter into additional hedges to meet our objectives of increasing value to shareholders.

We are exposed to market risk on our open derivative contracts related to potential non-performance by our counterparties. It is our policy to enter into derivative contracts only with counterparties that are creditworthy institutions deemed by management as competitive market makers. For the derivative contracts settled during fiscal 2024 and 2023, we did not post collateral. We account for our derivative activities under the provisions of ASC 815, *Derivatives and Hedging, (“*ASC 815”). ASC 815 establishes accounting and reporting that every derivative instrument be recorded on the balance sheet as either an asset or liability measured at fair value. See Note 7, “Derivatives” to our unaudited condensed consolidated financial statements for more details.

Interest Rate Risk

We are exposed to changes in interest rates. Changes in interest rates affect the interest earned on our cash and cash equivalents. Additionally, any borrowings under the Senior Secured Credit Facility will bear interest, at our option, at either SOFR plus 2.80%, subject to a minimum SOFR of 0.50%, or the Prime Rate, as defined under the Senior Secured Credit Facility, plus 1.00%. SOFR rates are sensitive to the period of contract and market volatility, as well as changes in forward interest rate yields. Under our current practices, we do not use interest rate derivative instruments to manage exposure to interest rate changes.

We maintain disclosure controls and procedures that are designed to ensure that information required to be disclosed in our Exchange Act reports is recorded, processed, summarized, and reported within the time periods specified in the Securities and Exchange Commission’s (“SEC”) rules and forms. This information is accumulated and communicated to our management, including our Principal Executive Officer and Principal Financial Officer, as appropriate, to allow for timely decisions regarding required disclosure.

As required by SEC Rule 13a-15(b), we carried out an evaluation, under the supervision and with the participation of our management, including our Principal Executive Officer and Principal Financial Officer, of the effectiveness of the design and operation of our disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(c) and 15(d)-15(e)) as of the end of the quarter covered by this report. In designing and evaluating our disclosure controls and procedures, our management recognizes that controls and procedures, no matter how well designed and operated, can provide only reasonable assurance of achieving desired control objectives. Based on the foregoing, our Principal Executive Officer and Principal Financial Officer concluded that as of September 30, 2024 our disclosure controls and procedures are effective in ensuring that the information required to be disclosed in our reports filed or submitted under the Exchange Act is recorded, processed, summarized, and reported within the time periods specified in the SEC rules and forms.

Under the supervision and with the participation of our management, including our Principal Executive Officer and Principal Financial Officer, during the quarter ended September 30, 2024, we have determined that there have been no changes in our internal control over financial reporting that have materially affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.